NFL Division Game Projections – 16 Jan 21

Here is an update to the latest NFL Division series games for 2021. This post will be updated throughout the day as more info comes in, stay tuned.

Line Projections

Although the Overs are a showing to have a high probability based on the two opponents season for all 4 games, typically the playoffs produces a lot of Unders. Weather in January will also likely effect the totals, with games in GB and Buf the weather can be very poor this time of year.

The Rams are also facing Injury issues with Goff, Kupp, and Donald. Some Sharp Action has come in on the Rams -7, but my guess is its more of a play on the key number of -7 than anything. Another popular opinion is Goff has performed terribly in cold weather and it will be cold with ~0mph wind in GB today.

Sharps seemingly took the -9.5 with KC but have stayed away since it hit the key number of 10. If you can find -9.5 it may be a good line to take.

TB has been hot lately, but this has come against teas with losing records and so far this year NO is 2-0 against TB.

Betting Value

If you don’t understand what you are looking at, please read my post about betting tips. The percentages represent value for that particular number. (To quantify, >30% is great value, 20-30% is really good, 10-20% is decent, <10 is ok value, blanks are negative value).

There is decent value on the Rams +6.5 and the Bills -2.5. Most of the Overs have Value, but as I said above typically playoffs lean to the under.

Like what you see? This post will be updated throughout the day as more info comes in, stay tuned.

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