NBA Line Projections – 17 Jan 21

As always keep an eye on injuries and COVID Issues. All stats pull from the Last 10 games (L10), so be aware of teams stats that don’t reflect recent injuries, recent returns, and recent trades.

**CHECK BACK FOR UPDATES THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON SHARP ACTION, INJURY NEWS, SIGNIFICANT LINE MOVEMENTS.

Basic Statistic Projections

Sharp Action on the Celtics and Pelicans.

76ers on the second night of an away back to back, last night lost in Memphis. Embiid is still out.

Boston is starting to get players back off the COVID list (Tatum is still out).

Betting Value

If you don’t understand what you are looking at, please read my post about betting tips. The percentages represent value for that particular number. Good value alone doesn’t mean you should bet it. (To quantify, >30% is great value, 20-30% is really good, 10-20% is decent, <10 is ok value, blanks are negative value).

According to this models projections there is decent value on the Pelicans and Pacers, but that’s about it.

No value on game totals according to these projections.

Linear Regression Projections

Rough day for the linear regression model yesterday.

Sharp Action on the Celtics and Pelicans.

76ers on the second night of an away back to back, last night lost in Memphis. Embiid is still out.

Boston is starting to get players back off the COVID list (Tatum is still out).

Betting Value

If you don’t understand what you are looking at, please read my post about betting tips. The percentages represent value for that particular bet type, number, and price. Good value alone doesn’t mean you should bet it. (To quantify, >30% is great value, 20-30% is really good, 10-20% is decent, <10 is ok value, blanks are negative value).

Great value on Boston and Philly both ATS and Moneyline according to this models projections.

No value on game totals according to these projections.

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