NBA Line Projections – 18 Jan 21

As always keep an eye on injuries and COVID Issues. All stats pull from the Last 10 games (L10), so be aware of teams stats that don’t reflect recent injuries, recent returns, and recent trades.

**CHECK BACK FOR UPDATES THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON SHARP ACTION, INJURY NEWS, SIGNIFICANT LINE MOVEMENTS.

Basic Statistic Projections

Sharp Action on Hawks (Small), Spurs, Raptors, Bucks, and Warriors (Small).

Knicks, Bulls, & Mavericks are on the second night of a back to back. Bull travelled from Dallas to Chicago, Mavericks Travelled from Dallas to Toronto, both brutal travel for a back to back.

Miami Heat still without Jimmy Butler.

Betting Value

If you don’t understand what you are looking at, please read my post about betting tips. The percentages represent value for that particular number. Good value alone doesn’t mean you should bet it. (To quantify, >30% is great value, 20-30% is really good, 10-20% is decent, <10 is ok value, blanks are negative value).

Great Value on the Pistons against a Covid impacted Heat team. Also good value on the Mavs who are on the second night of a brutal back to back.

No value on game totals according to these projections.

Linear Regression Projections

Sharp Action on Hawks (Small), Spurs, Raptors, Bucks, and Warriors (Small).

Knicks, Bulls, & Mavericks are on the second night of a back to back. Bull travelled from Dallas to Chicago, Mavericks Travelled from Dallas to Toronto, both brutal travel for a back to back.

Miami Heat still without Jimmy Butler.

Betting Value

If you don’t understand what you are looking at, please read my post about betting tips. The percentages represent value for that particular bet type, number, and price. Good value alone doesn’t mean you should bet it. (To quantify, >30% is great value, 20-30% is really good, 10-20% is decent, <10 is ok value, blanks are negative value).

Great value on Portland and Detroit. Bulls, Mavs and Knicks also have good value but all 3 are on the second night of a back to back.

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