NHL Line Projections – 28 Jan 21

Welcome to the first day using my Machine Learning Algorithms for the NHL. I’m not sure how they will perform since I have never done NHL before, but I started testing them on last nights games and I will make edits and changes as needed throughout the remainder of the season. I started with yesterdays 2 games.

I do not bet NHL and I do not follow it extremely close either, so right now the plan is to keep it simple and post just the top performing model, I don’t have the time to go more in-depth like I do with NBA. If you have any suggestions please let me know!

Hope you all can get something useful from this and as always best of luck everyone!

Records

Here is how the models have been performing after a whopping 2 games.

ATS Record

Moneyline Record

O/U Record

Top Performing Models

Based on Average Win % between ATS, Moneyline, and O/U.

Updated after todays games.

  1. kNN – TBD
  2. Random Forest – TBD
  3. Ada Boost – TBD
  4. Neural Net – TBD
  5. SVM – TBD
  6. Basic Model – TBD
  7. Linear Regression – TBD
  8. SGD – TBD

Summary of Projections

ATS Projections

Moneyline Projections

O/U Projections

Model Projections

1. k-Nearest Neighbor (kNN)

The lazy learner. Nearest Neighbor has performed best with 60 Neighbors.

Record: TBD ATS, TBD ML, TBD O/U.

ATS

Model Projections

Betting Value

If you don’t understand what you are looking at, please read my post about betting tips. The percentages represent value for that particular number. Good value alone doesn’t mean you should bet it (To quantify, >35% is great value, 20-35% is really good, 10-20% is decent, <10 is ok value, blanks are negative value).


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